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Cisco Visual Networking Index Global IP Traffic Forecast (2012-2017)

Blog Post created by kelliwon on May 29, 2013

 

Thehttp://www.cisco.com/en/US/solutions/collateral/ns341/ns525/ns537/ns705/ns827/white_paper_c11-481360_ns827_Networking_Solutions_White_Paper.htmlVisual Networking Index (VNI) Global IP Traffic Forecast for 2012-2017http://www.cisco.com/en/US/solutions/collateral/ns341/ns525/ns537/ns705/ns827/white_paper_c11-481360_ns827_Networking_Solutions_White_Paper.htmlis part of the comprehensive Cisco VNIhttp://cisco.com/go/vniforecast, an ongoing initiative to track and forecast the impact of visual networking applications on global networks. The new study includes global fixed IP traffic growth and service adoption trends, complementing the VNI Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast released earlier this year. Here are some of the key findings from the Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast (2012-2017):

 

Key Highlights


Annual global IP traffic will surpass the zettabyte threshold (1.4 zettabytes) by the end of 2017. In 2017, global IP traffic will reach 1.4 zettabytes per year, or 120.6 exabytes per month. Global IP traffic will reach 1.0 zettabytes per year or 83.8 exabytes per month in 2015.

 

Global IP traffic has increased more than fourfold in the past 5 years, and will increase threefold over the next 5 years. Overall, IP traffic will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23 percent from 2012 to 2017.

 

Nearly half of all IP traffic will originate with non-PC devices by 2017. In 2012, only 26 percent of consumer IP traffic originated with non-PC devices, but by 2017 the non-PC share of consumer IP traffic will grow to 49 percent. PC-originated traffic will grow at a CAGR of 14 percent, while TVs, tablets, mobile phones, and machine-to-machine (M2M) modules will have traffic growth rates of 24 percent, 104 percent, 79 percent, and 82 percent, respectively


Traffic from wireless and mobile devices will exceed traffic from wired devices by 2016. By 2017, wired devices will account for 45 percent of IP traffic, while Wi-Fi and mobile devices will account for 55 percent of IP traffic. In 2012, wired devices accounted for the majority of IP traffic at 59 percent.

 

The number of devices connected to IP networks will be nearly three times as high as the global population in 2017. There will be nearly three networked devices per capita in 2017, up from nearly two networked devices per capita in 2012. Accelerated in part by the increase in devices and the capabilities of those devices, IP traffic per capita will reach 16 gigabytes per capita in 2017, up from 6 gigabytes per capita in 2012.

 

Mobile Highlights


Globally, mobile data traffic will increase 13-fold between 2012 and 2017. Mobile data traffic will grow at a CAGR of 66 percent between 2012 and 2017, reaching 11.2 exabytes per month by 2017.

 

Global mobile data traffic will grow three times faster than fixed IP traffic from 2012 to 2017. Global mobile data traffic was 2 percent of total IP traffic in 2012, and will be 9 percent of total IP traffic in 2017.



Mobile Data Traffic


Mobile data traffic includes handset-based data traffic, such as text messaging, multimedia messaging, and handset video services (Table below). Mobile Internet traffic is generated by wireless cards for portable computers and handset-based mobile Internet usage.



Regional Highlights


IP traffic is growing fastest in the Middle East and Africa, followed by Asia Pacific. Traffic in the Middle East and Africa will grow at a CAGR of 38 percent between 2012 and 2017.

 

IP traffic in North America will reach 40.7 exabytes per month by 2017, at a CAGR of 23 percent. Monthly Internet traffic in North America will generate 7 billion DVDs’ worth of traffic, or 26.3 exabytes per month.

 

IP traffic in Western Europe will reach 16.8 exabytes per month by 2017, at a CAGR of 17 percent. Monthly Internet traffic in Western Europe will generate 3 billion DVDs’ worth of traffic, or 13.6 exabytes per month.

 

IP traffic in Asia Pacific will reach 43.4 exabytes per month by 2017, at a CAGR of 26 percent. Monthly Internet traffic in Asia Pacific will generate 9 billion DVDs’ worth of traffic, or 35.8 exabytes per month.

 

IP traffic in Latin America will reach 7.4 exabytes per month by 2017, at a CAGR of 17 percent. Monthly Internet traffic in Latin America will generate 2 billion DVDs’ worth of traffic, or 6.7 exabytes per month.

 

IP traffic in Central and Eastern Europe will reach 8.8 exabytes per month by 2017, at a CAGR of 21 percent. Monthly Internet traffic in Central and Eastern Europe will generate 2 billion DVDs’ worth of traffic, or 7.4 exabytes per month.

 

Discover all findings by accessing the full White Paper: Cisco Visual Networking Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2012-2017 (PDF)

 

More Resources

Press Release: Cisco's Visual Networking Index Forecast Projects Nearly Half the World's Population Will Be Connected to the Internet by 2017

Video Animation: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast Highlights (2012-2017)
Infographic: Consumer Mobile Service Adoption Trends

Blog Post: Six Insights: Implications of the VNI Forecast 2012-2017

Video: Cisco VNI Forecast 2012-2017 Key Takeaways (sound bytes)
Video: Cisco 2012-2017 VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast Perspectives with Panelists Discussions

Video: Summary Discussion of Cisco VNI Forecast 2012-2017

Video: Announcing VNI Global IP Traffic Highlights 2012-17 (Webcast)

More Info: Cisco VNI Page

Follow the conversation on Twitter using #CiscoVNI and follow @CiscoVNI and the Cisco VNI Facebook Page

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